U.S. likely to extend Iran sanction waivers - sources
The United States is likely to exempt India, South Korea, Turkey
and others from Iranian financial sanctions for another six months
on Friday as a reward for reducing crude purchases from the Islamic
republic, two U.S. government sources said, Reuters reported.
Oil shipments by Iran have more than halved in 2012 in the face of
U.S. and European Union sanctions aimed at cutting Tehran's foreign
exchange earnings and funding for a nuclear program they suspect is
designed for a military purpose. Iran denies that the program is
for nuclear weapons.
The U.S. sanctions, which target financial transactions, have
gradually tightened the noose on Iran's crude sales. But exports
took a deep hit in July when EU sanctions kicked in, largely
because they effectively, overnight, banned insurance cover on
ships carrying Iranian crude.
The sanctions have sharply curtailed the market for Iranian crude,
with Asian buyers and Turkey the only customers this month,
according to shipping sources. EU sanctions included a ban on
members from buying Iranian crude.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that Iranian oil
exports dipped below 1 million barrels per day (bpd) over the
summer as Western sanctions on Tehran tightened.
According to official Iranian government data available through the
Joint Oil Data Initiative (JODI), Iran exported an average of just
over 2 million bpd in 2011.
On June 11, a number of countries received their first round of
reprieves from U.S. sanctions that President Barack Obama signed
into law a year ago. The waivers are issued by the State
Department.
Under the law, banks in countries that buy oil from Iran can be cut
off from the U.S. financial system unless their purchases are
reduced.
The architects of U.S. sanctions legislation, Democratic Senator
Robert Menendez and Republican Senator Mark Kirk, have urged the
White House to require oil importers to reduce purchases by 18
percent or more to qualify for further exemptions.
U.S. waivers for China, the top consumer of Iran's oil, and
Singapore are due to expire on December 25, 180 days after they
were issued.
Both countries are expected to get waiver extensions because they
have reduced oil purchases from Iran. Those waivers could also be
issued on Friday, one of the government sources and an oil industry
source said.
"There's nothing in the sanctions law that says the U.S. has to
wait a full 180 days to announce exceptions for China," said the
government source, who asked not to be named because of the
sensitive nature of the matter.
Japan and 10 EU countries received six-month sanction reprieves
from the United States in September.
The West suspects that Iran's nuclear program is enriching uranium
to levels that could be used in weapons. Tehran has said that the
program is for the generation of electricity and medical
purposes.
David Cohen, undersecretary for terrorism and financial
intelligence at the U.S. Treasury Department, said this week the
mix of sanctions was costing Iran up to $5 billion a month.
The United States and the EU say the sanctions are targeted at the
government and not ordinary citizens, although the rial has dropped
sharply in value and forced up food prices so that Iranians can not
always afford even basic items.
Still, the West has been ramping up sanctions further as worries
mount about Tehran's nuclear intentions and to try to calm concerns
in Israel, which has threatened to attack Iranian nuclear
installations if a peaceful solution is not found.
Shipping sources say Iran's crude exports are set to drop by about
a quarter in December from November and to the lowest level since
the sanctions were imposed this year, representing a loss of about
$800 million at current prices.
EU sanctions mean that major buyers China, South Korea and India
ask Iran to ship the oil to them because they are unable to secure
insurance cover for vessels.
Delivery has often been delayed because the Iranian fleet is
severely stretched, with an increasing number of its tankers being
used as floating storage for unsold oil.
The sanction will leave Asia's 2012 Iranian crude imports at just
over 1 million bpd, down roughly a quarter from a year ago, Reuters
calculations show.
As Iran's biggest buyers of Iran crude, Asian countries lobbied
hard for exemptions to the sanctions for fear that a loss of the
crude would force prices higher and undermine economic growth. Many
Asian refiners are also designed to handle Iranian crude, and would
require costly reconfiguring if they were to give up the grade
substantially.
China, the world's second-largest oil consumer, has also repeatedly
voiced its opposition to unilateral sanctions, such as those
imposed by the United States. It says measures should be
multilateral and agreed through the United Nations.
Still, China's imports have fallen in recent months as Iranian
tankers struggled to ship even the reduced volumes requested by
importing countries. Earlier this year, China slashed imports by as
much as half as the country wrangled over annual contract terms
with Tehran.
China's imports from Iran are down 22 percent on the year to
426,000 bpd in January-October, the months for which official data
is available.
South Korea has reduced purchases 39 percent to 148,000 bpd and
Japan 41 percent to 188,000 bpd over the same period. In contrast,
India has raised imports to 328,000 bpd, up 7 percent.
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