Armenia’s heavy debt raises concerns
Armenia’s foreign debt has exceeded a staggering $2.5 billion,
or 36% of its Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the government
estimates.
According to the country’s finance ministry, more than 90% of the
borrowed funds are owed by the government. The alarming fact is
that Armenia has limited resources to clear the debt, and its
borrowing more funds is deemed inevitable.
The ultra-nationalist Dashnaktsutyun party’s parliamentary faction
estimates that the South Caucasus republic’s foreign debt is
expected to reach $3.5bn by the end of 2010, or 43% of the GDP.
International experts are also utterly worried about Yerevan’s
heavy debt, stressing the threat posed to the country’s economy by
this trend. Aristomene Varoudakis, World Bank Country Manager for
Armenia, has warned that Armenia’s foreign debt is expected to
exceed 50% of the GDP next year.
Grant Bagratyan, Armenia’s former prime minister, said the amount
allocated from the state budget to clear the arrears and accrued
interest have been rising by the year, warning of serious
implications.
"Whereas in 2008 Armenia was spending only $8 million to repay
foreign debt, as early as in 2013 the figure will reach $478
million. Then, to clear the foreign loans, we will have to
designate twice as much money as we spend on the military, which we
are already maintaining with difficulty."
Bagratyan noted that the rising spending on external debt has also
created suitable conditions for outside political pressure on
Armenia, and the situation in this respect is disastrous.
"If it goes on like this, in just a year’s time we, ourselves, will
be begging to speed a settlement to the Upper (Nagorno) Garabagh
conflict. It is no secret to anyone that this conflict’s lingering
on is the main factor impeding Armenia’s development not only
economically, but also politically, democratically and in other
areas."
Azerbaijan and Armenia fought a lengthy war that ended with the
signing of a cease-fire in 1994, but Armenia continues to occupy
Upper Garabagh and seven other Azerbaijani districts in defiance of
international law. *
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