Sargsyan’s policy of false statistics or wishful thinking
By Jamila Babayeva
For the second time in the last 21 years, Armenia has set its worst
socio-economic record.
Based on official figures, the economic growth of the country stood
at 1.8 percent in January 2014.
Former Prime Minister and economist Grant Bagratyan said this
figure is the second worst socio-economic record over the last 21
years. "The first worst indicator was registered at 0.7 percent in
2009," he said.
The National Statistics Service's recently reported that the real
socio-economic situation in Armenia has deteriorated. In
particular, the industrial production decreased by 3.3 percent in
January 2014, compared with the same period of 2013.
Furthermore, the average monthly salary fell by 17.5 percent
compared to December amid hike in prices by 2.8 percent, according
to the report.
The official report refuted a recent "optimistic" statement by
Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan, who urged an increase in monthly
wages in 2014.
Sargsyan, more probably held wishful thinking when made a reference
to his own "reliable statistics sources" adding that the salary of
security employees has increased by 10 percent. Meanwhile he talked
of an increase in pay of 10-15 percent and even 25 percent in some
companies. In addition, the president promised increase in salaries
of civil servants by 40-80 percent.
Predictions for the socio-economic situation are still not
encouraging - incomes will decline, while the poverty and
unemployment will rise.
Head of Armenian Union of Employers Gagik Makaryan also holds a
pessimistic view in this regard, alarming about serious problems
that the country will face due to revised Russian law on
migrants.
The law provides that the citizens of some former Soviet republics,
including Armenia, have the right to remain in the territory of the
Russian Federation without registration for only 90 days within
every 180 days. This means that citizens of Armenia cannot
continuously live in Russia for more than six months.
Makaryan expects mass flow of Armenian immigrants from Russia.
"Even if about 100,000 people return to Armenia, this will
significantly encourage unemployment, incomes will reduce, and
unemployment will increase," he said.
Makaryan also noted that the government does not have a flexible
approach to this problem. "The authorities need to keep calm, as
they are controlling the situation," he said.
Figures reflect the deteriorating economic situation of the
country. The government needs to make serious decision to change
the situation for the better. Despite this, the government of
Armenia has not yet put tackling the complicated socio-economic
situation on its agenda.
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