Iran shifts strategy on South Pars project development
By Dalga Khatinoglu
Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh has issued orders for
the development of the South Pars gas field on the first day of his
work.
Zanganeh, who has visited South Pars, said that the priority will
be placed on completing the development of the phases 12, 15, 16,
17, and 18.
In March 2009, Ex-President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad inaugurated the
incomplete Phases 9 and 10.
So far, $46 billion has been invested in phases 11-24 of the gas
field, but no single phase has come on stream yet. This is while
that the total investment in Phases 11 to 24 of South Pars, a giant
joint gas field with Qatar which holds around half of Iran's total
gas reserves, had been estimated to be less than $40 billion.
The five phases, which have been prioritized by the Iranian oil
minister, have been developed more than other phases.
Development plan of the Phase 12 started 61 months ago and has
progressed by 92 percent. Development plan of the phases 15 and 16
started 73 months ago and has progressed by 92 percent. Development
plan of the phases 17 and 18 started 73 months ago and has
progressed by 82 percent.
Development plans of other phases started 38 months ago and have
progressed by 50-64 percent.
Former Iranian oil minister Rostam Qasemi said late June that some
$30 billion more is needed to complete the development of other
phases of the gas field.
It seems that Iran has not been successful in completing even a
single phase of the gas field in the absence of foreign companies,
so that the development progress has, at best, reached 1.5 percent
per month. Moreover, the development costs have been doubled.
On July 2, Gholamhossein Khajeh-Ali, the former managing director
of the main contractor in the South Pars, told Mehr news agency
that to save the South Pars, all the international sanctions should
be removed, otherwise no single phase will come on stream.
According to him, the National Iranian Oil Company pays contractors
in rupees and yuan. This is while that the necessary equipment
cannot be imported using such currencies.
The U.S. and the EU sanctions have imposed sanctions on Iran's oil
export and banking system, which increasingly faced Iran with
problems to export oil and receive petrodollars.
Each country is currently allowed to deposit the money for
importing Iranian crude oil using its national currency to a bank
account in the same country. Iran is allowed to use the money for
importing certain goods only from that country.
Necessity of increase in financing support and investment on South
Pars case while, Iran's crude oil exports have fallen sharply in
the past two years.
In 2011, Iran exported some 2.2 million barrels of oil per day. In
2012, exports fell to 1.2 mbpd. On August 22, Reuters reported that
Iran's crude oil exports fell in the first half of 2013 by 20
percent and reached 960,000 bpd.
It seems that President Hassan Rouhani should grapple with economic
woes of the Ahmadinejad administration along with the international
sanctions.
But, prioritization, efficient management, along with interaction
with the global community can breathe new life into Iran's energy
projects and reduce the effects of the international sanctions.
Unlike other sanctions, which require complicated legal processes,
removing the U.S. sanctions - which will be positive in the
participation of foreign companies in Iran's oil and gas projects -
is likely, although resolving Iran's nuclear issue is a
prerequisite.
This could be the first stage of step-by-step strategy toward
removing concerns about Iran's nuclear program gradually versus
easing sanctions.
Iran holds around 33 trillion cubic meters of gas reserves, but it
has no capacity to produce natural gas in excess of the domestic
need in order to be exported.
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