Azeri economy slows down due to global crunch
The global financial crisis has not caused a
reduction in the Azerbaijani economy and only slowed down the pace
of its growth, the state statistics body said while totaling last
year`s economic statistics.
The State Statistics Committee chairman, Arif Valiyev, told the
press Friday that the growth of the Gross Domestic Product in the
fast-growing South Caucasus republic was over 20% in mid-2008, but
it fell during the second half of the year. For the entire year,
the country`s GDP growth made up 10.8%.
The slowdown was caused by the suspension of transporting oil
through the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan main export pipeline for 15-20 days
in August 2008 following an explosion on the conduit, a reduction
in the volume of cargo transportation through Georgia that same
month due to a military conflict with Russia, falling world crude
prices, and other events.
Valiyev said Azerbaijan could boost its GDP growth by beefing up
oil production, but current crude prices suggest that the measure
would be inefficient.
According to the Committee chairman, the estimates on the number of
people who lost their jobs in companies and organizations that have
closed down or scaled down operations over the economic downturn
have not been drawn up yet but work in this area has begun.
"But the point is that companies which have limited their activity
are sending their employees on unpaid leaves, in which case these
people cannot be considered unemployed," he said, adding that the
Committee would be able to calculate only the number of those who
officially lose their jobs.
Valiyev went on to say that 2008 was a successful year for the
national industry. Industrial goods to the tune of 28 billion
manats ($34.5 billion) were produced last year, reaching 6% over
2007.
76.6% of industrial goods were made in extractive industries where
production increased 5.3%.
Azerbaijan produced 44.5 million tons of oil and 16.3 billion cubic
meters of gas in 2008, 4.6% and 50.4% respectively above the 2007
figures.
The processing industry accounted for 18.7% of the total volume of
industrial goods and grew 7.4% compared to the previous year.
4.7% of industrial goods were made up by electric power, gas and
water production and distribution. Growth in this division was 7.9%
compared to 2007.
Nonetheless, electricity production decreased 2% in the country
last year and constituted 20.2 billion KWt/hrs.
Valiyev also said agricultural production increased 6.1% in
Azerbaijan in 2008. Growth in harvesting crops made up 7.2%, while
growth in animal husbandry grew 4.1%. Wheat output increased 26%
and potatoes by 3.8%. Production of melons - 2.4%, tobacco 14.7%,
and green tea-leaves 33.2%, while cotton decreased 44.7% due to the
reduction in sowing areas under these crops.
As for the construction sector, the State Statistics Committee
estimates that investments totaling 9.073 billion manats ($11.2
billion) were channeled into the field from various financial
sources in 2008, or 34.3% over 2007. 6.519bn manats ($8.04bn), or
71.8% of the amount, were spent on the construction of production
facilities. 75.5% of construction operations were carried out at
the expense of domestic investments.
Also, domestic investments in the country increased 67.2%, while
foreign investments decreased 16.3% last year.
Inflation easing amid booming trade
Inflation reached 20.8% in Azerbaijan in 2008, the State Statistics
Committee estimated. Food prices rose 28.6%, while those for other
goods were 11.5% and fees on services 11.4%. However, the tendency
reversed toward the end of the year with a 0.4% decrease posted in
December. Food prices went down 1%, while those for other goods
remained unchanged that month.
Valiyev said it was difficult to cite a projection on inflation
levels for 2009, explaining this with due to unpredictable
developments caused by the worldwide economic crisis.
"If the developments continue unfolding like this, not only will we
be able to achieve single-digit inflation, but even deflation may
be reported," he concluded.
Valiyev added that price hikes have not been reported in Azerbaijan
so far in January, and experts are predicting deflation this month
as well.
As for Azerbaijan`s foreign trade, the turnover amounted to $53.5
billion in January-November 2008, more than a five-fold increase
compared to the corresponding period of 2007. A lion`s share of the
volume - 87.9% - was made up by exports, while the remaining 12.1%
- by imports. Thus, the country posted a positive foreign trade
balance of $40.5bn, the Committee chairman said.
Only 6.9% of the commodities turnover was transacted with other CIS
member states.
Azerbaijan`s imports increased 29.7% last year, with 67% of the
goods delivered from countries other than the former Soviet
republics.
Valiyev emphasized that due to rising domestic production of
foodstuffs, their imports to the country have been on a downward
trend. For instance, imports of butter, eggs, granulated sugar,
fruits and vegetables considerably decreased last year. At the same
time, the deliveries of wheat, rice, vegetable oil, and mineral
fertilizers increased.
Italy topped the volume of Azerbaijan`s foreign trade, accounting
for 35.7% of the figure. 11.4% of the volume was made up by the
United States, while 6.7% - by Israel, 4.7% India, 4.6% France, and
3.3% Russia, Less than 3% of the trade turnover was made up each by
Spain, the Netherlands, Indonesia, Turkey, and the United
Kingdom.
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