Beyond carbon metrics
By Camila Moreno , Daniel Speich Chassé and Lili Fuhr
Over the last ten years, “climate change” has become almost
synonymous with “carbon emissions.” The reduction of greenhouse
gases in the atmosphere, measured in tons of “carbon equivalents”
(CO2e) has emerged as the paramount objective in the quest to
preserve the planet. But such a simplistic approach cannot possibly
resolve the highly complex and interconnected ecological crises
that we currently face.
Global environmental policy’s single-minded focus on “carbon
metrics” reflects a broader obsession with measurement and
accounting. The world runs on abstractions – calories, miles,
pounds, and now tons of CO2e – that are seemingly objective and
reliable, especially when embedded in “expert” (often economic)
language. As a result, we tend to overlook the effects of each
abstraction’s history, and the dynamics of power and politics that
continue to shape it.
One key example of a powerful and somewhat illusory global
abstraction is the gross domestic product (GDP), which was adopted
as the main measure of a country’s economic development and
performance after World War II, when world powers were building
international financial institutions that were supposed to reflect
relative economic power. Today, however, GDP has become a source of
widespread frustration, as it fails to reflect the realities of
people’s lives. Like a car’s high beams, abstractions can be very
illuminating; but they can also render invisible what lies outside
their light.
Nonetheless, GDP remains by far the dominant measure of economic
prosperity, reflecting the obsession with universality that
accompanied the spread of capitalism worldwide. Complex, nuanced,
and qualitative imaginings that reflect local specificities are
simply not as appealing as linear, overarching, and quantitative
explanations.
When it comes to climate change, this preference translates into
single-minded support for solutions that marginally reduce “net”
carbon emissions – solutions that may impede broad economic
transformations or undermine communities’ capacity to define
specific problems and develop appropriate solutions. This approach
can be traced back to the 1992 Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro,
where climate policy embarked on a rocky and violent path of
forgotten alternatives. In the course of the last quarter century,
at least three critical mistakes were made.
First, governments introduced the CO2e unit of calculation to
quantify in a consistent manner the effects of disparate greenhouse
gases, such as CO2, methane, and nitrous oxide. The variations
among these gases – in terms of their warming potential, how long
they remain in the atmosphere, where they appear, and how they
interact with local ecosystems and economies – are profound. A
single unit of measure simplifies matters considerably, allowing
policymakers to pursue one blanket solution aimed at meeting a
specific overarching target.
Second, the UN climate change convention emphasized “end of pipe”
techniques (methods aimed at removing contaminants from the
atmosphere). This enabled decision-makers to deflect attention away
from the more politically challenging objective of limiting the
activities producing those emissions in the first place.
Third, policymakers decided to focus on “net” emissions,
considering biological processes involving land, plants, and
animals together with those associated with the burning of fossil
fuels. Just like industrial facilities, paddy fields and cows were
treated as emissions sources, and tropical forests, monoculture
tree plantations and bogs as emission sinks. Policymakers began to
seek solutions that involved offsetting emissions abroad, rather
than cutting them at home (or at the source).
By 1997, when the Kyoto Protocol was introduced, “more flexibility”
was the order of the day, and trading in emissions certificates (or
permits to pollute) was the preferred policy option. Nearly two
decades later, the effort to offset emissions is not only
entrenched in climate politics; it has also made its way into the
broader environmental-policy debate.
New markets for so-called “ecosystem services” are emerging all
over the world. For example, “wetland mitigation banking” in the
United States is one of the older such markets. It entails the
preservation, enhancement, or creation of, say, a wetland or stream
that offsets the adverse impacts of a planned project on a similar
ecosystem elsewhere. This is done by issuing certificates that can
be traded. “Biodiversity offsetting” schemes work in much the same
way: A company or individual can purchase “biodiversity credits” to
offset their “ecological footprint.”
If these schemes sound a little too convenient, that is because
they are. In fact, they are based on the same faulty concept as
emissions trading, and in some cases, they actually translate
biodiversity and ecosystems into CO2e. Instead of changing our
economic system to make it fit within the planet’s natural limits,
we are redefining nature so that it fits within our economic system
– and, in the process, precluding other forms of knowledge and real
alternatives.
Now, in the wake of last December’s climate summit in Paris, the
world is on the verge of taking yet another wrong turn, by
embracing the idea of “negative emissions,” which assumes that new
technologies will be able to remove CO2 from the atmosphere. Yet
such technologies have yet to be invented, and even if they were,
their implementation would be highly risky.
Rather than pursue proven solutions – leaving fossil fuels in the
ground, moving away from industrial agriculture toward
agro-ecology, creating no-waste economies, and restoring natural
ecosystems – we are counting on some miraculous innovation to save
us, deus ex machina, just in the nick of time. The folly of this
approach should be obvious.
If carbon metrics continue to shape climate policy, new generations
will know only a carbon-constrained – and, if they are lucky, a
low-carbon – world. Instead of pursuing such a simplistic vision,
we must pursue richer strategies aimed at transforming our economic
systems to work within – and with – our natural environment. For
that, we will need a new way of thinking that spurs active
engagement to reclaim and conserve the spaces where alternative
approaches can grow and flourish. It will not be easy, but it will
be worth it.
Camila Moreno is a researcher at the Federal Rural University of
Rio de Janeiro and the author of the forthcoming book Carbon
Metrics and the New Colonial Equations. Daniel Speich Chassé is a
professor of history at the University of Lucerne, where he works
on the evolution of knowledge systems. Lili Fuhr heads the Ecology
and Sustainable Development Department at the
Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung in Berlin.
Copyright: Project Syndicate: Beyond Carbon Metric
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