S&P says higher capital requirements for Kazakh banks not to remedy business activity
The Kazakh banking regulator's plan for a tenfold increase in
minimum capital requirements will not be a cure-all for the
country's weakened financial system, Standard & Poor's Ratings
Services said on September 8 in the report "Capital Alone Won't
Strengthen Kazakh Banks."
One of the latest parts of the banking regulator's initiative to
support Kazakh banks is to raise minimum capital requirements to
Kazakh 100 billion tenge ($546.2 million) from the current 10
billion tenge (182 tenge = $1), effective Jan. 1, 2019. As of July
1, 2014, 33 of the 38 banks in Kazakhstan stood short of the
proposed 100 billion tenge capital requirement.
"Such a sharp increase in the absolute amount a bank may be
required to hold to do business might unleash a series of mergers
and acquisitions across the banking sector in the coming years,
with some of the smaller players being swallowed up by larger
ones," the report says.
"Although consolidation could create opportunities for the Kazakh
banking sector over the long term, the system's major
weaknesses--the lenient banking regulation and supervision, banks'
aggressive risk management practices, and sometimes deficient
corporate governance procedures are very likely to remain," said
Standard & Poor's credit analyst Ekaterina Marushkevich.
"Furthermore, the resulting higher barriers to entry could lower
the sector's attractiveness to foreign investors."
Still, the agency currently does not anticipate that the proposed
regulation will affect the ratings on Kazakh banks over the next
two years, given that the capitalization analysis focuses more on
the amount of capital compared with risk assets rather than on the
absolute amount of capital.
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