EU sanctions strangle Iranian LPG exports to Asia
EU sanctions on Iran's natural gas have unintentionally also
brought its exports of liquefied petroleum gas to a near halt,
industry sources say, starving Tehran of yet more dollar revenue
and threatening to push European winter fuel bills yet higher,
Reuters reported.
LPG, which comprises propane and butane, comes mainly from oil
rather than natural gas, but shippers and insurers are steering
clear of Iranian supplies due to uncertainty over the scope of the
new European Union sanctions.
"It's a grey area if natural gas includes LPG or not," said one LPG
trader. "Not many want to take a risk on that."
Earlier this month the EU announced tighter restrictions on trade
with Iran, adding to already comprehensive international sanctions
aimed at forcing Tehran to halt its nuclear program.
These included a ban on importing and transporting Iranian gas, as
well as financing gas sales. Western nations suspect Iran is trying
to develop atomic weapons, something that Tehran denies, but the
gas curbs had appeared symbolic as Iran exports none to the EU.
In reality, the measures announced by EU foreign policy chief
Catherine Ashton are already strangling Iranian LPG exports to
countries outside the bloc, notably South Korea.
Officially, the gas sanctions became binding on EU governments from
October 16 but technically they do not apply to companies until
detailed legislation is prepared and issued. An EU source said this
could happen in November.
In the absence of hard and fast EU rules, Iran's LPG customers
outside the EU are acting cautiously due to the uncertainty, with
the result that shipments are drying up.
Previous U.S. and EU measures slashed Iran's crude oil exports,
hitting its hard currency earnings and contributing to a plunge in
the rial's value. The International Energy Agency estimated its
crude exports at 860,000 bpd in September, down from 2.2 million
bpd at the end of 2011.
Similar curbs on LPG will likewise hurt Tehran. Before the
sanctions, Iran exported almost four million metric tons a year,
worth over $4 billion at current market prices.
After South Korea, Norwegian energy giant Statoil was the main
buyer of Iranian LPG, industry sources said.
Company spokesman Morten Eek said Statoil had taken Iranian LPG as
repayment of debts owed by the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC)
for completed projects on the giant South Pars gas field and
exploration on the Anaran and Khoramabad fields.
"We receive the cargo at the LPG terminals in Iran and transport it
by ship to markets outside Europe and the USA. Cargoes of LPG serve
as down payment of NIOC's debt to us," he said.
"We have informed the Norwegian and United States authorities on
this and we will continue the dialogue to ensure that our
activities are in accordance with the current sanctions," Eek
added, without commenting on whether Statoil would be able to
continue taking the shipments.
A source at one South Korean energy company said his firm had
stopped taking Iranian LPG since mid-October as Japanese insurers
were refusing to provide cover for the cargoes.
Japanese shipping company Phoenix Tankers is one such company.
Phoenix shipped Iranian LPG to South Korea earlier this year on a
spot basis, said Tetsutaro Kozai, a spokesman at Mitsui OSK, the
parent company of Phoenix.
"It is now up to our customers as the EU has discussed but not yet
decided if LPG is subject to sanctions," he said. "If there is such
a spot order, we'll comply with the EU's decision and consider if
we can transport safely before accepting it."
This illustrates the problems in conducting the trade, even before
the EU legislation officially comes into force.
London is the global centre for shipping insurance and with Britain
an EU member, the sanctions will paralyze cover for Iranian gas.
Likewise, shippers do not want to touch any trade that could risk
business with clients such as major oil firms.
"Now some Western majors say if a vessel has loaded in Iran in the
last three cargoes, they will not charter her," said one LPG
trader.
Another unintended consequence is that the sanctions are likely to
push up Europeans' energy bills as winter nears.
Europe is already facing a supply crunch for heating and diesel
fuel. Germany has even started to encounter diesel and other fuel
shortages as continental refineries have cut runs due to low crude
supplies.
Europe is likely to find itself struggling for supplies of yet
another winter fuel if buyers in South Korea and elsewhere try to
make up for their loss of Iranian LPG on the open market.
"It is a game changer," said another LPG trader. "Whatever the
case, no more liftings equals massive impact on worldwide
availabilities coming into winter."
Iran has vied with Kuwait as the fourth largest LPG exporter in the
Middle East, behind Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi
Arabia, several traders said.
Propane is used for heating, in agriculture and in petrochemicals
along with butane, which in turn is also used for cooking in many
developing countries and as a winter gasoline component.
Iran had been exporting LPG on six or seven Very Large Gas Carriers
(VLGC) per month - between around 275,000-325,000 metric tons or
nearing 4 million metric tons a year, several traders said.
South Korea was taking between two and four cargoes a month, market
sources said, and Statoil usually one per month. Together they
accounted for around two thirds of the Iranian exports.
A Kuwait-based customer, Arab Maritime Petroleum Transport Company
has also been lifting about one cargo a month from Iran, the Korean
source said.
South Korea imported LPG worth more than $1 billion in the first
eight months of 2012, according to data from the Korea
International Trade Association. Iran provided 37 percent of its
propane imports and 22 percent of the butane.
South Korea's government has asked the EU for clarification on the
new sanctions, an official said.
Another source said imports were continuing from Iran but these may
be ships which left Iran before the EU announced the sanctions on
October 15.
Two LPG tankers loaded at the Iranian port of Assaluyeh around
October 15. The Gas Vision tanker was heading to South Korea and
the Clipper Sun tanker, on a long term charter to Statoil, is
heading for Singapore, market sources and Reuters AIS Live ship
tracking showed.
If its imports were hit, South Korea would have no choice but to
buy LPG on the spot market.
South Korea would look for alternative supplies from Saudi Arabia,
Qatar and the UAE if it could no longer import from Iran, a source
at a buyer of Iranian LPG said. The same suppliers have helped to
fill the gap on international markets left by the reduction in
Iran's crude oil exports this year.
Three South Korean firms - E1, SK Gas and Samsung Total - import
propane and butane, sources said.
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