China to need gas from Turkmenistan,Russia
China’s growing demand will need natural gas from both
Turkmenistan and Russia, Tao Wang, expert at Carnegie-Tsinghua
Center for Global Policy believes.
“China’s energy transition and economy will see natural gas demand
increasing quickly in the coming decades, possibly double the
demand of today by 2030,” Wang told Trend.
“Surely China will need different sources of gas imports to ensure
the security of supply and economic benefits, including pipeline
gas from Central Asia and Russia, and also LNG imports from other
sources,” Wang said.
He added that China, just as the other East Asian gas importers
such as Japan and South Korea, would always prefer reliable and
affordable natural gas supplies.
With regard to the Russian gas, which is expected to be transported
to China through the “Power of Siberia”pipeline, which is already
being constructed, Wang believes that, given the location, the
pipeline will certainly have more advantages in accessing the
northern market of China.
China is the world's most populous country with a fast-growing
economy that has led it to be the largest energy consumer and
producer in the world. Robust growth in natural gas demand in
recent years, particularly in the urban coastal areas, has led
China to become the third largest LNG importer and to accelerate
development of its LNG and pipeline infrastructure, according the
US Energy Information Administration (EIA).
According to BP, consumption of natural gas in China in 2013
amounted to 161.6 billion cubic meters, which was 10.8 percent more
than in 2012.
Currently China is the biggest importer of Turkmen gas. In 2014,
Ashgabat exported 25.9 bcm to China. By 2017, the capacity of the
system from Turkmenistan to China is expected to increase to 80 bcm
of gas, and by the end of 2021, Turkmenistan will annually supply
65 billion cubic meters of gas under the agreement signed between
China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) and Turkmengaz.
It is reported that the capacity of the first two lines of the
pipeline amounted to 30 billion cubic meters of gas at the end of
2010. The construction of the third line with capacity of 25
billion cubic meters of gas per year was completed at the end of
2014. As of 2015, the capacity of the pipeline from Turkmenistan to
China is 55 billion cubic meters per year.
At the same time, according to the recent Russian Gazprom’s
statement, the company intends to pursue a Eurasian strategy
instead of the European one, and in case if Europe refuses Russian
gas, it can be redirected to Asia. The company has already started
construction of the "Power of Siberia" gas pipeline from eastern
Siberia to China. The first supplies via the pipeline are scheduled
for 2018. Gazprom is set to export 38 billion cubic meters of
Russian gas to China annually over a 30-year period.
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