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Cheap oil's winners and losers in one giant map

16 April 2015 08:45 (UTC+04:00)
Cheap oil's winners and losers in one giant map

By Bloomberg

With oil prices still down about 50 percent since June, $2-a-gallon gasoline in the U.S. is beginning to feel almost normal.

That's having knock-on benefits for the worldwide economy. The IMF estimated in December that the price crash could boost global GDP by 0.7 percent. And even as America's oil industry gets hammered, the net benefits from cheaper shipping, transportation, and manufacturing make the U.S. one of the world's biggest winners from the price crash.

Not every country fares so well.

Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) estimated some of the biggest winners and losers in the map above. The U.S., Europe, and Asia are getting a nearly $900 billion economic stimulus from cheaper oil prices. The Middle East and Russia are getting stuck with the bill.

"I believe we are in an era of lower oil prices in the medium term and also in the longer term," Michael Liebreich, founder of BNEF, said in a presentation at the group's annual summit on Tuesday. "We have cheap oil, cheap gas, cheap renewables. We are definitely in an age where supply is not constrained."

Note: The calculations for the map are based on a $5 drop in natural gas price and $50 drop in oil price. The estimates use import/export volumes from 2011 to 2013, which would exclude the expansion in U.S. oil since then. Read This Next:




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