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ECB cash drives second-busiest emerging bond-sale rush in decade

1 April 2015 10:05 (UTC+04:00)
ECB cash drives second-busiest emerging bond-sale rush in decade

By Bloomberg

The emerging-market bond rush that’s made the beginning of 2015 the second-busiest quarter in a decade for sales in euros is just getting started, courtesy of the European Central Bank’s stimulus drive.

Governments and companies across developing nations raised 20 billion euros ($21.5 billion) this year, with 59 percent of the total coming in March as the ECB embarked on an unprecedented bond-buying plan, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Europe’s 1.1 trillion-euro quantitative-easing program is luring emerging-market issuers after the benchmark cost of borrowing in Europe’s shared currency fell to a 26-year low relative to the dollar last month. That discount ensures the pipeline of offerings will remain active at least through the end of 2015, according to Barclays Plc.

“We are at the beginning of many quarters of euro issuance in EM being higher than they have been historically,” Aziz Sunderji, a credit strategist at Barclays, said by phone from New York on Monday. “The driver is lower yields in euros, and that is caused by the ECB and weaker economic environment in Europe compared to the U.S.”

Biggest Sale

Euro-denominated bonds will make up 40 percent of emerging- market sovereign bond sales this year, compared with 27 percent in 2014, according to Regis Chatellier of Societe Generale SA. The bank helped organize an offering in Bulgaria, the biggest this quarter in emerging markets.

The eastern European country raised 3.1 billion euros from the sale of seven-year, 12-year and 20-year bonds, its longest- dated securities ever on March 19.

Poland issued 1 billion euros of May 2027 notes on Monday at a record-low yield of 1.02 percent. That compares with a 2.74 percent rate on January 2024 dollar debt, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Emerging-market issuers sold $60 billion of dollar- denominated debt, three times more than in euros in the first three months of the year, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

“It makes a lot of sense to issue in the euro as spread levels are much tighter than in the dollar space,” Chatellier said by e-mail on Tuesday. “For European investors, the interest-rates risk is also lower due to the ECB” stimulus, he said.

Corporate Sales

Companies from China to Mexico have sold debt in euros since ECB chief Mario Draghi announced the stimulus program in January. China Construction Bank Asia Corp. raised 500 million euros in an offering of February 2020 bonds. Emirates NBD PJSC, Dubai’s biggest publicly traded lender, issued 550 million euros of seven-year notes at a yield of 1.77 percent, and Mexican cement maker Cemex SAB sold the same amount of bonds due March 2023 at a rate of 4.375 percent.

Even as the appeal of issuing bonds in euros is likely to continue during the ECB’s stimulus program, “the market’s attention remains fixed” on the Federal Reserve, Zsolt Papp, a money manager at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in London, said by e-mail.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen said on March 27 she expects the central bank to raise borrowing costs this year and that subsequent increases would be gradual.

The yield on 10-year Treasuries was 1.95 percent on Tuesday, compared with 0.2 percent for German bunds. The average cost of borrowing in euros was 0.93 percent on Monday, eight basis points above an all-time low on March 10, according to the BofA Merrill Lynch Euro Corporate Index.

“Now many traditional European real-money investors have cash to deploy outside of Europe, away from the typical western European investment-grade issuers,” Souhail Mahjour, who works at the emerging-market bond syndicate of HSBC Holdings Plc, said by phone from London March 23.

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