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China stocks rebound from biggest drop in six years on GDP data

20 January 2015 10:42 (UTC+04:00)
China stocks rebound from biggest drop in six years on GDP data

By Bloomberg

China’s benchmark stock index rebounded from the biggest loss in six years, led by industrial and consumer companies, after data showed the nation’s economy grew faster than estimated.

CSR Corp. and China CNR Corp. soared 10 percent to lead a rally for industrial companies. PetroChina Co. jumped 4.1 percent, rebounding from yesterday’s 9.2 percent plunge. Great Wall Motor Co. surged 7.7 percent to pace gains for consumer companies most reliant on economic growth. Citic Securities Co. and Haitong Securities Co. extended yesterday’s slump, tumbling at least 7 percent after they were suspended from loaning money to new equity-trading clients.

The Shanghai Composite Index rose 2.1 percent to 3,181.52 at 1:04 p.m. Data showed gross domestic product rose 7.3 percent in the three months ended December, beating the median estimate of 7.2 percent, while industrial production and retail sales grew faster than anticipated. The Shanghai gauge slid 7.7 percent yesterday as a tightening of margin-lending regulation sparked a $291 billion rout in the country’s equity market.

“The economic data were mostly better than market estimates, easing concern about deteriorating growth,” said Wang Weijun, a strategist at Zheshang Securities Co. in Shanghai. “We still need to closely watch the data on margin trading as that’s a considerable source of new capital.”

The CSI 300 Index climbed 1.6 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng China Enterprises Index advanced 2.4 percent. The Hang Seng Index added 0.8 percent. Trading volumes in the Shanghai index were 21 percent below the 30-day average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

CSRC Defense

Even after yesterday’s plunge, the Shanghai Composite is the best performer among 93 global indexes tracked by Bloomberg over the past year with a 59 percent gain. The index is valued at 11.9 times 12-month projected earnings, compared with a multiple of 7.8 for the H-shares gauge.

China’s securities regulator said yesterday it isn’t trying to curb equity trading after its efforts to rein in record margin lending spurred the drop in stocks. Investors’ interpretation that regulators are suppressing the stock market through Friday’s action isn’t accurate, China Securities Regulatory Commission spokesman Deng Ge said, according to a statement on the regulator’s website.

“The comments by the regulator yesterday night seem to have, to some degree, calm investors,” said Gerry Alfonso, a China equity sales and trading director at Shenyin & Wanguo Securities Co.

Industrial Output

Today’s economic data suggest stimulus efforts have started to boost demand, helping full-year economic growth come close to the government’s target. The central bank cut interest rates for the first time in two years in November and the government accelerated the approval of infrastructure projects to boost an economy mired in a property slump and overcapacity.

Industrial production rose 7.9 percent in December from a year earlier, compared with the 7.4 percent median estimate of analysts and November’s originally reported 7.2 percent. Retail sales increased 11.9 percent from a year earlier, compared with the 11.7 percent seen by economists. The economy expanded 7.4 percent in 2014, the slowest pace since 1990.

A gauge of industrial companies in the Shanghai index rose 2.7 percent for the biggest gain among the five groups. China Eastern Airlines Co. climbed 3.7 percent. China Railway Group Ltd. advanced 4.2 percent. Automakers led gains among consumer- discretionary shares, with SAIC Motor Corp. adding 2 percent.

Brokers Slump

Financial companies were the only industry group in the CSI 300 to post a decline, dragged down by brokerages. Huatai Securities Co. slid 6.3 percent, paring a rally over the past year to 155 percent.

Citic Securities, Haitong Securities and Guotai Junan Securities Co. were suspended from lending money and stocks to new clients for three months, the China Securities Regulatory Commission said on its microblog on Jan. 16 after the market closed. The regulator punished nine other brokerages for offenses including allowing unqualified investors to open margin finance and securities lending accounts, it said.

Traders reduced holdings of Shanghai shares purchased with borrowed money yesterday by the most since June 2013. The outstanding balance of margin debt fell 1.9 percent to 752 billion yuan ($121 billion), according to data from the Shanghai Stock Exchange.

“People were panicking yesterday,” Xiaomin Shen, Hong Kong-based portfolio manager at ICBC Credit Suisse Asset Management Co., said by phone. “Policy makers are pro-market and would like to see healthy growth of the market. The big trend for Chinese shares to rise stays intact.”

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