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Emerging stocks fall to 10-month low as ruble crosses 60/dollar

15 December 2014 17:55 (UTC+04:00)
Emerging stocks fall to 10-month low as ruble crosses 60/dollar

By Bloomberg

Emerging-market stocks declined, with the benchmark index set for a 10-month low, as the ruble slid beyond 60 against the dollar and Indonesia’s rupiah sank to the weakest level in 16 years.

PTT Pcl, a Bangkok-based oil company, slid 4.9 percent, dragging Thailand’s stock gauge down the most in almost a year. The ruble plunged to a record 61.25 per dollar before Russia’s central bank holds a long-term auction to provide rubles to banks. Indonesia’s rupiah depreciated 1.9 percent, while China Mobile Ltd. decreased to a seven-week low in Hong Kong.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index lost 0.6 percent to 932.93 at 11:18 a.m. in London. The United Arab Emirates said OPEC will refrain from cutting output even if prices slumped to as low as $40. While Brent climbed to $62.48 a barrel in London today, it’s lost 11 percent of its value this month.

“The plummeting oil prices have been one of the more surprising economic developments in 2014,” Ruth Lea, economic adviser at Arbuthnot Banking Group Plc in London, said by e- mail. “Moreover, prices should remain weak into 2015. Of course, there are losers including the oil companies and net oil-exporters.”

All ten industry groups fell in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, led by telecommunication and energy companies. A gauge tracking 20 developing-country currencies decreased for a fourth day, losing 0.7 percent.

The premium investors demand to hold emerging-market debt over U.S. Treasuries narrowed two basis points to 380, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. indexes.

Unprecedented Auctions

The ruble dropped as much as 5 percent versus the U.S. dollar, heading for a sixth day of losses. The central bank will hold an unprecedented auction of local currency to ease the cash squeeze that pushed interbank rates to the highest in more than five years. Russia’s Micex Index slipped 0.2 percent.

Equities in Turkey retreated 0.5 percent, set for the lowest level in almost a month, after police detained the editor-in-chief of the country’s best-selling daily and the head of a television station. The lira weakened 0.9 versus the dollar to a 10-month low, approaching the level that the currency was at in January, when the central bank more than doubled interest rates.

The nation’s jobless late increased to 10.5 percent in September from 10.1 percent the previous month, data showed today.

Dubai’s DFM General Index rose 0.1 percent following a 26 percent drop in the previous nine days. Abu Dhabi equities retreated 0.7 percent to the lowest level almost in a year.

Oil Rout

Oil prices have lost more than 20 percent since Saudi Arabia led OPEC’s decision to maintain its production target at a Nov. 27 meeting. The market will stabilize and OPEC will wait at least three months before considering an emergency meeting, U.A.E. Energy Minister Suhail Al-Mazrouei said.

PTT slid for a fifth straight day, while its unit PTT Exploration & Production Pcl sank 5.3 percent to a five-year low. Thailand’s SET Index fell as much as 9.2 percent before paring losses to 2.4 percent. Malaysian equities tumbled 2.1 percent.

China Mobile sank 1.9 percent to its lowest close since Oct. 27 in Hong Kong. Tencent Holdings Ltd. slid to a six-month low. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.5 percent on bets the government will take more steps to support growth.

The rupiah fell toward its lowest level since the Asian financial crisis, as an increase in dollar buying by local companies before the year-end coincided with a rout in the sovereign-bond market.

Developing-country stocks have dropped 7.2 percent this year and are valued at 10.7 times their 12-month projected earnings, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The MSCI World Index has risen 0.6 percent in the period and trades at 15 times its estimated earnings.

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