Deal on NABUCCO project may be signed in months
An inter-governmental agreement on the NABUCCO
pipeline project that seeks to pump gas from the resource-rich
Caspian and Central Asia regions to Europe by-passing Russia may be
signed in the next three to four months.
Reinhard Mitschek, the managing director of NABUCCO Gas Pipeline
International, has said the dispute over gas supplies between
Russia and Ukraine, which often emerges in winter, has prompted
European nations to thoroughly consider alternate routes to acquire
sources of energy, especially in the conditions of the global
economic crisis.
"All countries involved have stated their commitment to the
project. Major advances have been made in drafting the text of the
inter-governmental agreement, which is currently under discussion
between the European Commission and the governments of the
participating states. We believe the signing will take place in the
first quarter of 2009," Mitschek said.
He emphasized that the NABUCCO project was attractive for all
countries involved - producers, consumers and transit states. "The
current situation shows the need for realizing this project, for
diversifying oil and gas pipeline routes."
The West-backed project worth 8 billion euros aims to deliver 30
billion cubic meters of gas to European markets through a
3,300-kilometer pipeline through Azerbaijan and Turkey to Romania,
Bulgaria, Hungary and Austria.
Meanwhile, Alexander Vondra, Deputy Prime Minister of the Czech
Republic, which is chairing the European Union, said construction
of the NABUCCO pipeline may be completed in 2015, although the 2013
deadline has been cited so far.
Vondra noted that Prague plans to conduct a summit of the states
participating in the project this spring.
He went on to say that during the Czech chairmanship in the EU, his
government would work to speed up the project.
Further, Vondra said there was a number of challenges standing in
the way of materializing the initiative, emphasizing that a
consortium of key energy exporters - Caspian littoral states - has
yet to be established.
Analysts say Azerbaijan`s hydrocarbons alone do not suffice to
implement the project. Lithuania`s foreign minister has lately said
that NABUCCO, which will partly meet the needs of Europe for gas in
the long term, is not an existing, but, rather, an envisioned
project.
Azerbaijani Minister of Energy and Industry Natig Aliyev agrees
with this view. He believes the project is extremely complex and a
number of problems are to be resolved to pave the way for its
implementation.
"Initially, sources of gas from the Middle East were envisioned for
NABUCCO, but the ensuing developments made this impossible,
highlighting the issue of using Caspian gas as a source. However,
Azerbaijan`s reserves alone cannot make NABUCCO a reality, and the
project definitely requires gas from Central Asia, including
Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan. But this brings to the fore new
problems. Both of these countries are delivering their gas to
Europe through Russia. Therefore, NABUCCO is not an existing, but
an envisioned project. We should take into account that the current
economic and financial crisis in the world has complicated the
project further."
But experts argue that there are actually no problems with
exporting Azerbaijan`s gas in terms of economic viability. The
resource-rich South Caucasus republic is capable of transporting 14
billion cubic meters of gas a year through the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum
pipeline, which provides neighboring Turkey and Georgia with
fuel.
Additionally, NABUCCO is considered a politically important
project, although, if realized, it will supply less than one-fifth
of Europe`s demand for gas. By pushing for the project, European
nations are trying to ease their dependence on Russia, which
maintains a tight grip on energy supplies.
Russia currently provides over 40 per cent of Europe`s gas needs.
Over 80 per cent of the exported fuel flows to the EU states
through Ukraine`s territory. However, in the wake of the recent
dispute between Moscow and Kiev, Russia cut off its supplies to
Ukraine from January 1 and those to Europe via this country - from
January 7.
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